Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- ta*****

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- **********

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of the region, shock waves travel a very long d*****t*****nce with considerable force. A major ***** Madrid ***** earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do major damage to others, buckle highways and collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, in 1809 and 1810 it triggered two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The ***** avoided ***** ***** and loss ***** life only because the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate ***** on the chart because they can do major, devastating damage with no warning, ***** because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: St. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the region. The last major regional flood was in 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isolated small communities, and disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and were not overwhelmed by events.

Terrorist Attacks: St. Louis has a major public attraction, which is also a national park - the St. Louis Arch. It also has a ***** international airport that serves as ***** hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war with terrorist organiza***** and may soon be at war with Iraq, the military installations in St. ***** and the immediate area are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far from St. Lou*****, ***** is a m*****jor training base. If Ft. Leonard Wood were attacked as a military target, it would put severe strain on *****. Louis public services since it is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, *****, *****nd emergency medical care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively ***** areas and ***** not cause extended or major *****. However, St. ***** is located on the plains, and weather systems often meet in the regi*****. The possi***** always exists of a m*****jor tornado striking the greater St. Louis area.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 1980's dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively with small and mode***** amounts ***** snow, but the very heavy snowfalls ***** occur about e***** 10 ***** paralyze the *****on and


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