Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- ta*****

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- *****nce

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



Lowest risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of the region, shock waves travel a very long d*****t*****nce with considerable *****ce. A major ***** Madrid Fault earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, ***** 1809 and 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The ***** avoided major damage and loss of life only because ***** area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on the chart because they can ***** major, devastating damage ***** no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: St. Louis is located at the confluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the region. The last major regional flood was in 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isolated small communities, ***** disrupted railroads. However, there was little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and ***** not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: *****. Louis h***** a ***** public attraction, which is also a national park - the St. Lou***** Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as the hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although ***** United States is at war with terror*****t organiza***** and may soon be at war with Iraq, the military installations in St. *****is ***** the immediate ***** are small. However, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far from St. Lou*****, and is a ***** training base. If Ft. ***** Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on *****. Louis public services since it is the ne*****st large city and a good source for fire fighters, police, and emergency ***** care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Lou***** area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively ***** are***** and ***** not cause extended or maj***** damage. *****, St. Louis is located on the plains, and weather systems *****ten meet in the regi*****. The possibility always exists of a m*****jor tornado strik*****g the greater St. Louis **********.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 1980's dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively with small and moderate amounts of snow, but ***** very ***** snowfalls ***** occur about e***** 10 y*****ars paralyze the *****on and


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