Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because ***** the geology of ***** region, shock waves travel a very long d*****tance with considerable **********. A major New Madrid ***** earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do major damage to others, buckle highways and collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, in 1809 and 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The region avoided major damage and loss ***** life only ***** the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate ***** on ***** chart because they can do major, devastating damage ***** no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: St. Louis is located at the confluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the region. The last major regional flood was in 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, destroyed millions of acres of farm crops, isolated small communities, and disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and were not overwhelmed by events.

Terrorist Attacks: St. Louis has a major public attraction, which is also a national park - the *****. Louis Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as ***** hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war with terrorist organizations ***** may soon be at ***** with Iraq, the military install*****ions in St. ***** and the immediate ***** are small. However, Fort Leonard Wood is not far ***** St. Louis, ***** is a ***** training base. If Ft. ***** Wood were attacked as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public ***** since ***** is the ne*****st large city and a good source for fire fighters, *****, and emergency ***** care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Lou***** area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small areas and ***** not cause extended or maj***** damage. *****, St. *****is is located on ***** plains, and weather systems ********** meet in the region. The possi***** always ex*****ts of a major tornado striking the greater *****. Louis area.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in ***** 1980's dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area ***** the capability to deal effectively with small and moderate amounts ***** snow, but the very ***** snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 years paralyze the ***** and


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