Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

Speed of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



Lowest risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of the region, shock waves travel a very long dis***** with considerable force. A major ***** Madrid Fault earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, ***** 1809 and 1810 it triggered two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The region avoided ***** damage and loss ***** life only ***** the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on ***** chart because they can do major, devastating damage ***** no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the *****. The last major regional flood ***** ***** 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, ***** disrupted railroads. However, there was little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and were not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: St. Louis h***** a ***** public attraction, w*****ich is also a n*****tional park - the *****. Louis Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as the hub for American Airlines.

Act of War: Although ***** United States is at war with terror*****t organiza***** ***** may soon be at war with Iraq, the military install*****ions in St. Louis and ***** immediate ***** are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far ***** St. Lou*****, ***** is a ***** tr*****ining base. If Ft. Leonard Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public ***** since it is the ne*****st large city and a good source for fire fighters, police, *****nd emergency medical care.

Torna*****: Tornadoes are common in the St. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively ***** areas and ***** not cause extended or major *****. However, St. ***** is located on ***** plains, and weather systems often meet in the region. The possi***** always exists of a m*****jor tornado striking the greater St. Louis area.

Blizzard: *****. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 19*****'s dropped two feet of snow ***** about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan ***** for a week. The area ***** the capability to deal effectively ***** small and mode***** amounts of snow, but ***** very ***** snowfalls that occur about every 10 ***** paralyze the region and


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