Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- ta*****

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- **********

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of ***** region, shock waves travel a very long dist*****nce with considerable force. A major ***** Madrid Fault earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, in 1809 and 1810 it triggered two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on ***** Richter scale. The ***** avoided major ***** and loss of life only ***** the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on the chart because they can ***** major, devastating damage ***** no warning, ***** because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in ***** region. The last major regional flood was ***** 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, destroyed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, ***** disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and were not overwhelmed by events.

Terrorist Attacks: St. Louis h***** a major public attraction, which is also a n*****tional park - the St. Lou***** Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as the hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war with terror*****t organiza***** and may soon be at ***** with Iraq, the military installations in St. *****is and ***** immediate area are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is not far from *****. Lou*****, ***** is a ***** tr*****ining base. If Ft. ***** Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public services since it is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, police, *****nd emergency medical care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Lou***** area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small are***** and did not cause extended or maj***** damage. However, St. Louis is located on the plains, and weather systems often meet in the regi*****. The possibility always exists of a major tornado striking the greater *****. Louis area.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 19*****'s dropped two feet of snow ***** about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area ***** the capability to deal effectively ***** small and mode***** amounts of snow, but the very heavy snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 ***** paralyz***** the region and


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