Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- ta*****

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



Lowest risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because ***** the geology of the region, shock waves travel a very long dis***** with consider*****ble **********. A major ***** Madrid ***** earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways and collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, ***** 1809 and 1810 it triggered two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on ***** Richter scale. The region avoided ***** damage and loss ***** life only because the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate ***** on the chart because they can do major, devastating damage ***** no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the *****. The last major regional flood was ***** 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, and disrupted railroads. However, there was little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and ***** not overwhelmed by events.

Terrorist Attacks: St. Louis has a major public attraction, which is also a national park - the St. Louis Arch. It also ***** a ***** international airport that serves as ***** hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war with terror*****t organiza***** and may soon be at ***** with Iraq, the military install*****ions in St. Louis ***** the immediate area are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is not far ***** St. Lou*****, and is a m*****jor training base. If Ft. Leonard Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public services since it is the ne*****st large city and a good source for fire fighters, *****, and emergency medical care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively ***** are***** and ***** not cause extended or maj***** damage. However, St. Louis is located on the plains, and weather systems *****ten meet in the regi*****. The possibility always ex*****ts of a major tornado striking the greater *****. Louis area.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 19*****'s dropped two feet of snow ***** about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively ***** small and moderate amounts ***** snow, but the very heavy snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 ***** paralyze the region and


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