Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because ***** the geology of the region, shock waves travel a very long d*****t*****nce with considerable *****ce. A major ***** Madrid ***** earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do major damage to others, buckle highways and collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, ***** 1809 ***** 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The region avoided major damage and loss ***** life only because the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on ***** chart because they can do *****, devastating damage with no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the *****. The last major regional flood was ***** 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isolated small communities, ***** disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and ***** not overwhelmed by events.

Terrorist Attacks: St. Louis ***** a ***** public attraction, which is also a n*****tional park - the *****. Lou***** Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as ***** hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war ***** terror*****t organizations ***** may soon be at ***** with Iraq, the military installations in St. Louis and ***** immediate ***** are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is not far ***** St. Lou*****, ***** is a m*****jor training base. If Ft. Leonard Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on *****. Louis public services since it is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, police, and emergency ***** care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small areas and ***** not cause extended or major *****. However, St. Louis is located on the plains, and weather systems ********** meet in the region. The possi***** always ex*****ts of a major tornado strik*****g the greater St. Louis area.

Blizzard: *****. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 1980's dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area ***** the capability to deal effectively ***** small and mode***** amounts of snow, but the very heavy snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 ***** paralyze the region and


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