Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

Speed of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of ***** region, shock waves travel a very long dis***** with consider*****ble force. A major New Madrid ***** earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, ***** 1809 and 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on ***** Richter scale. The region avoided major damage and loss of life only ***** the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on ***** chart because they can ***** *****, devastating damage with no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in ***** region. The last major regional flood was in 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, destroyed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, ***** disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and ***** not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: St. Louis ***** a major public attraction, which is also a n*****tional park - the St. Louis Arch. It also h***** a ***** international airport t*****at serves as the hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although ***** United States is at war with terror*****t organizations ***** may soon be at war with Iraq, the military install*****ions in St. Louis and the immediate ***** are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far ***** *****. Louis, ***** is a m*****jor training base. If Ft. Leonard Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public services since ***** is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, *****, and emergency ***** care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the *****. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small are***** and did not cause extended or maj***** damage. However, St. Louis is located on ***** plains, and weather systems *****ten meet in the regi*****. The possi***** always ex*****ts of a m*****jor tornado strik*****g the greater *****. Louis area.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 1980's dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan ***** for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively with small and moderate amounts of snow, but ***** very ***** snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 years paralyze the region and


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