Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

Speed of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of the region, shock waves travel a very long d********** with considerable *****ce. A major New Madrid Fault earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do major damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major earthquake in modern times, ***** 1809 and 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on ***** Richter scale. The ***** avoided ***** ***** and loss ***** life only because the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on the chart because they can ***** major, devastating damage with no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the region. The last major regional flood ***** ***** 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, and disrupted railroads. However, there was little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and ***** not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: St. Louis h***** a ***** public attraction, which is also a n*****tional park - the St. Lou***** Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as the hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war ***** terror*****t organiza***** ***** may soon be at ***** with Iraq, the military installations in St. *****is and the immediate area are small. However, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far ***** St. Lou*****, and is a major training base. If Ft. Leonard Wood were attacked as a military target, it would put severe strain on *****. Louis public services since it is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, *****, and emergency medical care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small areas and did not cause extended or maj***** *****. *****, St. Louis is located on ***** plains, and weather systems often meet in the region. The possi***** always ex*****ts of a major tornado striking the greater *****. Louis area.

Blizzard: St. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 1980's dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan ***** for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively ***** small and mode***** amounts ***** snow, but ***** very ***** snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 ***** paralyz***** the ***** and


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