Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- ta*****

Fre- quen- cy

***** of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- *****nce

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



Lowest risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because ***** the geology of ***** region, shock waves travel a very long distance with considerable force. A major New Madrid Fault earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways and collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major earthquake in modern times, ***** 1809 and 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on ***** Richter scale. The ***** avoided ***** damage and loss of life only because the area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate ***** on ***** chart because they can ***** major, devastating damage ***** no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: *****. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the region. The last major regional flood ***** in 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, destroyed millions of acres of farm crops, isolated small communities, and disrupted railroads. However, there was little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and were not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: St. Louis has a ***** public attraction, which is also a national park - the *****. Lou***** Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as the hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war with terror*****t organizations ***** may soon be at war with Iraq, the military install*****ions in St. *****is and the immediate ***** are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far from St. Lou*****, and is a ***** training base. If Ft. ***** Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public services since it is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, *****, and emergency medical care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Louis area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small areas and did not cause extended or major damage. However, St. ***** is located on ***** plains, and weather systems ********** meet in the regi*****. The possibility always exists of a major tornado strik*****g the greater St. Louis area.

Blizzard: *****. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in ***** 19*****'s dropped two feet of snow ***** about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan ***** for a week. The area ***** the capability to deal effectively ***** small and mode***** amounts of snow, but the very heavy snowfalls that occur about e***** 10 ***** paralyze the region and


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