Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

Speed of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



***** risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of ***** region, shock waves travel a very long d*****tance with considerable force. A major ***** Madrid Fault earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do major damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, in 1809 and 1810 it triggered two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The region avoided ***** damage and loss ***** life only because ***** area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on the chart because they can do major, devastating damage ***** no warning, ***** because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: St. Louis is located at the c*****fluence of the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in ***** region. The last major *****al flood was ***** 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, and disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and ***** not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: *****. Louis ***** a major public attraction, which is also a national park - the St. Lou***** Arch. It also has a major international airport that serves as ***** hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although the United States is at war with terror*****t organiza***** and may soon be at ***** with Iraq, the military installations in St. Louis ***** the immediate ***** are small. *****, Fort Leonard Wood is not far ***** *****. Lou*****, and is a ***** tr*****ining base. If Ft. ***** Wood were attacked as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public ***** since it is the ne*****st large city and a good source for fire fighters, police, *****nd emergency ***** care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the St. Lou***** area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively ***** are***** and did not cause extended or maj***** damage. However, St. *****is is located on ***** plains, and weather systems ********** meet in the region. The possi***** always ex*****ts of a m*****jor tornado striking the greater St. Louis **********.

Blizzard: *****. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 19*****'s dropped two feet of snow ***** about 30 hours, paralyzing the metropolitan area for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively ***** small and mode***** amounts ***** snow, but the very heavy snowfalls ***** occur about every 10 years paralyze the ***** and


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