Essay - Emergency Planning Hazard Potential Grid Criteria Proba- Bility Predic- Tability...

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Hazard Potential Grid


Proba- bility

Predic- tability

Fre- quen- cy

Speed of Onset

Control- lability

Op- tions

Scope and

Inten- sity

Sources for

Assis- tance

Com- munity

Vulnera- bility





Terrorist attack

Act of war



Lowest risk within ten years =1; highest risk = 5


Earthquake: St. Louis is about 200 miles from the New Madrid Fault, but because of the geology of ***** region, shock waves travel a very long dist*****nce with considerable *****ce. A major ***** Madrid ***** earthquake could destroy many vulnerable buildings, do ***** damage to others, buckle highways ***** collapse overpasses and possibly bridges. Although the fault has not triggered a major ***** in modern times, in 1809 and 1810 it ***** two earthquakes about six weeks apart that were both probably around 8.0 on the Richter scale. The region avoided ***** ***** and loss of life only ***** ***** area was barely populated. Earthquakes rate highest on the chart because they can ***** major, devastating damage ***** no warning, and because the area is inadequately prepared for an earthquake.

Flood: St. Louis is located at the c*****fluence ***** the M*****souri and Mississippi Rivers. Both rivers have significant tributaries in the region. The last major *****al flood was in 1993. It did major damage, made whole towns uninhabitable, *****ed millions of acres of farm crops, isol*****ed small communities, ***** disrupted railroads. However, there ***** little loss of life, and major support services such as fire, police and medical care, remained functional and were not overwhelmed by events.

***** Attacks: *****. Louis ***** a ***** public attraction, which is also a national park - the St. Lou***** Arch. It also h***** a major international airport t*****at serves as the hub ***** American Airlines.

Act of War: Although ***** United States is at war with terror*****t organizations ***** may soon be at war with Iraq, the military install*****ions in St. Louis and the immediate area are small. However, Fort Leonard Wood is ***** far from *****. Louis, ***** is a ***** training base. If Ft. ***** Wood were *****ed as a military target, it would put severe strain on St. Louis public ***** since ***** is the nearest large city and a good source for fire fighters, police, *****nd emergency ***** care.

Tornado: Tornadoes are common in the *****. Lou***** area. Recent incidents have involved small tornadoes that affected relatively small areas and ***** not cause extended or major damage. *****, St. *****is is located on the plains, and weather systems *****ten meet in the region. The possibility always exists of a m*****jor tornado strik*****g the greater St. Louis area.

Blizzard: *****. Louis occasionally receives heavy snowfall. One snowfall in the 19*****'s dropped two feet of snow in about 30 hours, paralyz*****g the metropolitan area for a week. The area has the capability to deal effectively with small and mode***** amounts of snow, but the very ***** snowfalls ***** occur about every 10 years paralyze the region and


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