Term Paper: In Ukraine Provides an Opportunity

Pages: 7 (2226 words)  ·  Bibliography Sources: 5  ·  Level: College Senior  ·  Topic: History - Asian  ·  Buy This Paper

SAMPLE EXCERPT:

[. . .] What this means is that the Ukraine has very little power to bring about a resolution. Understandably wary of open conflict with Russia, Ukraine is also understandably wary of relying on the West for support. Yet, at some point the West needs to draw its line in the sand. The biggest issue of all here is the respect for international law. While Russia and the U.S. are realist nations with little concern for international law and community, the EU's neoliberal outlook should encourage it to enforce international law with respect to the annexations and Russian agitating in Ukraine.

The first possible solution is that each of these entities will simply follow the course that it predicted. All parties, especially the U.S. And Russia, already understand where their line in the sand is, and all that is left is for the situation to play itself out. There will be no open conflict under this scenario and the only real losers will be Ukraine and the concept of international law.

The second possible solution is that there will be intervention. Understanding Russia's perspective as a realist nation, and that Russia will attempt to leverage its current strength to expand its sphere of influence and seize critical resources, more territory is under threat that just Transnistria and Donetsk. Moldova and the Baltic states in particular are under threat -- Estonia has been the subject of Russian saber-rattling and Lithuania sits between Kaliningrad and "mainland" Russia. Intervention from international bodies at the least will be necessary to establish international law more firmly.

Recommendations

The best solution in this case depends on one's perspective. A neoliberalist clearly needs to opt for the solution that establishes international law as relevant, but a realist is more worried about the balance of power and interests. The realist solution will only be a problem if Russian begins to annex EU territory. At that point, however, the realist will shift from the approach of basically sacrificing parts of Ukraine in order to gain the western section of that country to an approach of needing to engage Russia in conflict. It is recommended that the realist view be taken here -- there are parts of Ukraine that will be ceded to Russia. This may include the south, an option that is particularly unsavory because a) it means that Ukraine will be landlocked and b) that Russia will directly abut the UE at Bulgaria. Nevertheless, none of the actors involved, not even Ukraine, will be interested in open conflict -- it is far too damaging. Ukrainian nationalists will arguably have a much stronger -- if smaller -- country because there will be no political tug of war with ethnic Russians, most of whom will undoubtedly leave. This solution also will bring the ethnic Ukrainian regions directly under the influence of NATO and the EU, despite the fact that inaction will engender mistrust. The cold conflict with Russia will remain, but ultimately there is no real value to anybody in open conflict at this point, which essentially rules out the logic of intervention. A realist is not concerned with the implications for international law, and that is the perspective taken here.

Summary

I believe that the situation in Ukraine is already decided. The actors involved, save perhaps the Ukrainians themselves, are quite well aware of how this will play out. Russia will take more territory, but that will not expand its sphere of influence. The West will gain some influence over a staunchly nationalist, if smaller, Ukraine. The only real question mark is whether Russia will see this as an opportunity to expand further, which brings with it the real risk of open conflict with the West, as the West is not going to be willing to cede EU and NATO territory.

References

Schlesinger, J. (2014). The problem with Ukraine's history, the Russian version. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved April 30, 2014 from http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/the-problem-with-ukraine-s-history-the-russian-version-1.2561394

Slaughter, A. (2011). International relations, principal theories. Princeton University. Retrieved April 30, 2014 from http://www.princeton.edu/~slaughtr/Articles/722_IntlRelPrincipalTheories_Slaughter_20110509zG.pdf

The Economist. (2014). A rising Russian tide. The Economist. Retrieved April 30, 2014 from http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2014/04/eastern-ukraine-0

Thompson, M. (2014). What can history teach us about the unrest in Ukraine. PBS.org. Retrieved April 30, 2014 from http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/ukraine/ [END OF PREVIEW]

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In Ukraine Provides an Opportunity.  (2014, April 30).  Retrieved April 19, 2019, from https://www.essaytown.com/subjects/paper/ukraine-provides-opportunity/9364063

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"In Ukraine Provides an Opportunity."  30 April 2014.  Web.  19 April 2019. <https://www.essaytown.com/subjects/paper/ukraine-provides-opportunity/9364063>.

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"In Ukraine Provides an Opportunity."  Essaytown.com.  April 30, 2014.  Accessed April 19, 2019.
https://www.essaytown.com/subjects/paper/ukraine-provides-opportunity/9364063.